Pre-tourney Rankings
UNC Wilmington
Colonial Athletic
2013-14
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.6#279
Expected Predictive Rating-7.8#283
Pace63.7#280
Improvement+0.2#169

Offense
Total Offense-6.4#315
Improvement-3.2#310

Defense
Total Defense-0.2#174
Improvement+3.4#40
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2013 20   @ Iowa L 39-82 2%     0 - 1 -26.0 -31.7 +8.6
  Nov 10, 2013 14   @ Iowa St. L 62-95 2%     0 - 2 -15.4 -4.7 -9.9
  Nov 13, 2013 242   @ Charleston Southern W 80-78 OT 31%     1 - 2 +0.4 -3.5 +3.7
  Nov 18, 2013 297   @ Liberty W 87-76 48%     2 - 2 +4.8 +12.3 -7.2
  Nov 21, 2013 181   @ Western Kentucky L 58-73 21%     2 - 3 -13.2 -11.7 -1.6
  Nov 23, 2013 232   @ Marshall L 78-96 31%     2 - 4 -19.4 +0.9 -19.0
  Nov 29, 2013 83   Stephen F. Austin L 55-60 17%     2 - 5 -1.5 -13.9 +12.0
  Dec 01, 2013 217   @ East Carolina W 70-68 27%     3 - 5 +1.6 +2.2 -0.3
  Dec 03, 2013 328   Campbell W 69-50 79%     4 - 5 +4.0 -10.4 +15.2
  Dec 15, 2013 79   Manhattan L 72-77 16%     4 - 6 -1.2 +2.3 -3.4
  Dec 21, 2013 183   Old Dominion L 57-69 40%     4 - 7 -16.0 -11.1 -5.7
  Dec 28, 2013 244   @ UNC Asheville L 61-75 32%     4 - 8 -15.7 -13.9 -2.2
  Dec 31, 2013 28   @ North Carolina L 51-84 3%     4 - 9 -17.0 -12.6 -4.3
  Jan 04, 2014 262   James Madison L 55-60 57%     4 - 10 0 - 1 -13.4 -9.5 -4.9
  Jan 08, 2014 205   @ Northeastern L 68-79 OT 25%     4 - 11 0 - 2 -10.6 -7.4 -2.6
  Jan 11, 2014 138   @ Towson L 53-60 15%     4 - 12 0 - 3 -2.2 -7.5 +3.6
  Jan 15, 2014 259   Hofstra L 64-69 56%     4 - 13 0 - 4 -13.1 -8.7 -5.0
  Jan 18, 2014 147   Drexel L 63-79 30%     4 - 14 0 - 5 -17.3 +0.0 -19.6
  Jan 22, 2014 194   @ College of Charleston L 70-75 23%     4 - 15 0 - 6 -3.9 +3.8 -7.9
  Feb 01, 2014 114   @ Delaware L 65-66 12%     4 - 16 0 - 7 +5.5 -7.3 +12.8
  Feb 03, 2014 147   @ Drexel L 50-61 16%     4 - 17 0 - 8 -6.8 -7.6 -1.7
  Feb 05, 2014 169   William & Mary L 50-54 36%     4 - 18 0 - 9 -7.1 -19.0 +11.1
  Feb 08, 2014 259   @ Hofstra L 52-61 35%     4 - 19 0 - 10 -11.6 -15.3 +2.0
  Feb 10, 2014 138   Towson W 66-53 29%     5 - 19 1 - 10 +12.2 -0.4 +14.5
  Feb 13, 2014 205   Northeastern W 55-45 45%     6 - 19 2 - 10 +4.8 -11.4 +17.5
  Feb 15, 2014 262   @ James Madison L 62-64 36%     6 - 20 2 - 11 -4.8 -5.5 +0.5
  Feb 17, 2014 169   @ William & Mary L 70-93 19%     6 - 21 2 - 12 -20.5 -5.8 -15.2
  Feb 22, 2014 194   College of Charleston W 57-55 2OT 42%     7 - 21 3 - 12 -2.5 -12.7 +10.2
  Feb 26, 2014 114   Delaware L 57-70 24%     7 - 22 3 - 13 -12.1 -19.6 +7.8
  Mar 07, 2014 259   Hofstra L 70-78 45%     7 - 23 -13.4 -6.5 -7.1
Projected Record 7.0 - 23.0 3.0 - 13.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13 100.0% 100.0
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%